August 3rd, Prime Minister Abdullah Haji Ahmad will advise the YDP Agong to dissolve the Parliament. On the night the whole nation while be informed through RTM and Media Prima’s channels. It has been planned for everybody to be caught by surprise as majority are predicting election will be after Raya Aidil Fitri and before Aidil Adha.
By 6th May (Actually 6th August, so sorry folks), election commission will announce the nomination day and the Election Day for all contested constituencies. Saturday, 25th August and Sunday 26th August will be the Election Day. A week later, Barisan Nasional will organise the mother of all celebration for BN as the government for Malaysia of the last 50 years. That day will be 31st August 2007.
Why Pak Lah wants election so soon? Well he knows and he also has been advised that Barisan Nasional cannot bank in on Pak Lah popularity and achievements anymore to sustain huge majority in Parliament and to retain Terengganu. Having election in August itself will be a good way to diminish the possible challenge from Tengku Razaleigh. How is Pak Lah going to do that? Well, Tengku Razaleigh himself knew that Annuar Musa is eyeing for Parliamentary seat beside his state sit. The Parliamentary sit for Annuar Musa will be no other than in Gua Musang itself. The calendar of The New Malay with Annuar’s picture is everywhere in BN hardcore area in Gua Musang constituencies. Annuar Musa is the New King.
Having election after Aidil Fitri or after the New Year will be bad for Abdullah. That is the obvious time that the voters pockets are empty. Going to election with empty pocket will mean only one thing, people are not happy. When they are not happy, they will blame the government for it.
Having election in August will be banking on the feel good factors. The civil servant will start to receive their new salaries by the end of July. They will have extra money and they will feel very good indeed. For the rest of the voters, the patriotic sentiment will be sky-high. For months now they are being told on national TV and mainstream newspaper that the 50 years achievements are the worked of Barisan Nasional. Millions of Jalur Gemilang will be everywhere and for the first time we will see the nation going into election dressed up in Jalur Gemilang rather than in BN’s blue, Pas’s green and DAP’s red and white.
What is the indicator that can be considered as yardstick for election in August? Well, if you have outstanding payment for your utility services, don’t worry, it will not be disconnected yet. If you have default your loan, your credit card payment etc, no worries, your feel good feeling will not going to be chop off by the arrival of the reminder anymore, at least until end of August. Do not worry about financial institution sending crook to repossess your car. They will be on leave till end of August. Haven’t you realise it yet? Don’t you know that ‘some’ sort of special instruction has been circulating out there?
If you are a headmaster, school teacher or in the civil service, you will realise a lot of your colleague received letter to attend courses with regard of the election. Basically, everything in the book about preparing for election is already happening.
One friend chided, “semua barang Pak Lah kasi naik, ‘barang’ Pak Lah, Jean kasi naik! Jadi Pak Lah feels good, apa lagi mau tunggu?”.
So, election in October or November? Well you think by then the civil service will still remember about the pay rise? Even if they are promised year end bonus, they will not receive it till year end and that will not be enough for parents to cover the expenses of buying new school books, uniforms, school fees etc etc which obviously those items are not going to be any cheaper neither it going to be at the same price with last year. Is that feel good?
Maybe you are waiting for the announcement of a lower fuel price? Well perhaps we are wishful thinking.
So, election in August? If you ask me, I will not say no and I will not say maybe. I will say yes.
Bro Sheih, I too think it has to be in August based on what you say. Is this your personal opinion or based on PAS intelligence-gathering? The feel good factors are there. But will he call for one? Many a times he has fooled pundits. Let it be true this time around.
really? well i can see the hint nowadays at here and there..but..you sure ha? i’m so excited can’t wait to vote again..let us prove to them who’s the boss here..
I wish I could…..
I wish I can…..
I wish I could see the end……..of all this lies.
Assalamualaikum,
Bro Sheih you have your points. For others please check/update your “daftar pemilih” and your family members’ as well …
6th May – Announcement on Nomination & Election Day
25th & 26th Aug – Election Day
31st Aug – VICTORY celebration 2 BN!!
6th May – announcement on nomination day & election day
am i missing something here? it’s 12th July here..when did they announced it?
Gua harap PAS akan sentiasa bersedia. Jom kita berjuang di jalan ALLAH.
ALLAHHUAKBAR!
i agree with the prediction and reasons… as this is what have been said around the blogs..
but.. you’ve said;
Having election after Aidil Fitri or after the New Year will be bad for Abdullah. That is the obvious time that the voters pockets are empty. Going to election with empty pocket will mean only one thing, people are not happy. When they are not happy, they will blame the government for it.
haha… poorer people is lot more easier to buy then…
my other own prediction will be like this;
like what had been done by the former pm,
they first will present a very promising budget 2008, with all kind of good promise to the rakyat.. then, they’ll wait a few weeks, announce the next GE, win, form a new govt, present another budget 2008, as the previous one is no longer valid… hahah…
that’s why this year Budget will be presented earlier than before…
bru, u are so wrong about anuar musa taking over Gua Musang from Ku Li… you are so wrong!
Another hint here it will be in August, schools have received memo from Education Department informing them that if the schools wish to take the whole week off for Hari Raya Aidilfitri, the 3 replacement schooling days will have to be on 3 Saturdays over month of June and July, the last of the replacement schooling day is on 28th Jul. It is unprecedented that the Education Department actually specified the dates for the replacement schooling days. The reason for doing so is pretty obvious right?
NHM – 6th of August (May was a typo-lah)
Hi BRo,
6 May or 6 August ????
Very interesting… hope that it will be in August!
yar – tak tahan lah.
nak ‘kubur’ pembangkang, kuburlah…
lebih baik drpd duduk menuggu PM ‘feel good’.
bring it on….
Everybody is saying August is the best month to held the election.
My Chinese friend told me,middle month of August is the 7th month of Chinese Luna Month, which is the “bulan Hantu”.
so I think it should not only be “feel good” but also a lot of “Hantu”..hahhaha…………
Mr. Sheih, you are a good astrologist …..
Sheih Kau biar boto eden nak botanding calon Pelihana raya ni nak lawan Khairi.Tak kan nak bagi dio monang sonang sonang yo tanpa ado pertandingan.kalah tu eden dah pasti tapi lawan totap lawan .tapi masalah lah eden ni ahli umno.camno nak buek ah.nak gasak yo ko
Sheih,
As usual, sharp analysis, and a very well-written one. Bravo bro’..
Kalau dgn feel good factor and the theoretical “mother-of-all-celebration” on our 50th Merdeka – then this is a guaranteed slam dunk victory. A victory like no one has ever seen.
Why am I not happy? For sure rakyat will now give BM carte blanche .. And then later, when the reality sets in, they will complain and mengeloh. The cycle continues…
For me, knowing they will lose, I will still throw my lot behind the oppo. Hopefully they will not lose their deposit. That’s all my one vote can hope to accomplish…
Lets hope that the people who have been foaming in the mouth complaining do not fall for cheap propagandas anymore. Put your money where your mounth is. You can firld a Pontianak against a BN man and I’ll vote the Pontianak.
this feel good will turn to mati pucuk after too much feel good times … doctor’s advise! lay off the Jeani pills! hahahaha
Sheikh, you forgot the little birdie that came up with some of the theories la. I also heard, CIMB now says they will only repossess your car if u default 9 months payments. Can you please check this… maybe u know someone at CIMB.
6th May – probably sheih means 6th August
I doubt election will be after budget: Major examinations — parents tension? where got time to attend ceramah, also what abt party volunteer workers, many are parents also.
School holidays in December only a big maybe — biggest shopping season, many tourists, parents go holidaying with kids…. again too many obstacles…. moreover isnt this visit malaysia year.
august seems ideal because electronic media campaign can be cheap, just tie in with Merdeka promos…
another thing — any of you noticed the giant billboards for Al Rajhi bank… note the slogan and please please check the colours used also… so BN. Al Rajhi Bank logo just sits (very small compared to the slogan) on the bottom right hand corner….
Whats the purpose of Annurar musa going for a Parliament seat? He was a Minister before. I think he is more interested in becoming A Chief minister than a Minister. Anyway if he is going for the Gua Musang Parliamentary seat, that means he is doing Pak Lah a favour by disposing Ku Li who seems to be a thorn in the flesh to him. By doing so he will also get into the goodbook of KJ which seems to be the most difficult thing for Annuar to do lately. Anyway its time for Gua Musang to get a new representative.
As to the date of the GE, I concurr with el that it will occur only after 2008 budget is presented in parliament. A mouth watering budget for the poor masses is the best election gimmick to buy their votes. Money for the voters pocket can always be given during an election. Afterall comission from from the Sukhoi’s and submarine deal alone would be sufficient to cover that need. Dont tell me RM500 million isnt enough to put in the poor man’s pocket for them to come out and vote BN?
Shieh
Haris Ibrahim of People’s Parliament blog has a good slogan for the coming Agust election: VOTE FOR CHANGE.
Reposted on http://malaysianunplug.blogspot.com/2007/07/vote-for-change-before-they-bring.html
But Malaysian voters are scared of change.
The phantom voters will vote BN in AGAIN.
The already-dead voters will BN in AGAIN
Busload of false voters from other constituencies will flood the different polling stations with paid-up ICs for rent.
The rempit-Umno Youth thugs will threaten voters at the polling booths.
The non Malay, especially the Chinese voters, tend to lose their balls at electionn time and they go into a temple-like trance when they put their vote on paper. They can only see BN onthe voting card.
The Indian voters confused between the Dacing with Sewing machines on the voting cards and voted BN AGAIN.
The Election Commission is purposely incompetent, put up a facade of neutrality.
The Police and the chaps in Bukit Aman are required to support the UMNO candidates because their brains were taken off by the BN Govt and replaced with micro-chips where they have lost the faculty to think what is right or wrong for the country.
There you go!! PAS is a lot to do to really re-invent itself, renegotiate its leadership and its working arrangement with other parties, if it wants to win FEDERAL GOVT or to win MORE seats in the Federal Election.
PAS will lose Kelantan and Trengganu because phantom and dead voters who will vote for BN.
For the next election…August i hope, it is not about the credibility of candidates. It’s whether BN govt should be given the huge mandate like the last election. It is also about Pak Lah and his monkeys, i certainly do not want monkeys to run this country again. To be realistic, I predict this election is going to be the dirtiest ever by the BN and their consorts like pee-drm and election commision, lets reduce their majority…that it self is victory.
Banner protest
He said that even in PAS-ruled Kelantan, the Hindu devotees have been allowed to build a temple despite it being “located in the midst of 99.99 percent of Malays in a village in Kota Bahru”.
In fact, he added, Kelantan government had granted a bigger land nearby for the temple to be properly relocated. The Hindu temple now sits majestically in the heart of Kota Bahru town.
“Even the Sri Maha Mariamman Temple in Tumpat, a PAS fundamentalist stronghold, is also surrounded by Malays but we never ever had problems.”
-MalaysiaKini
http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/69884
PAS showed AMNO who’s the real deal.
Keep them running with tails between their legs, Sheih!
And still we Voters will still go after the electoral game, and select, and give power, and legitimate a government (who ever they are) that happily take away every element of our FREEDOM!
Thank you democracy!
Silhoute // Jul 13th 2007 at 8:58 am
Whats the purpose of Annurar musa going for a Parliament seat?
ada angin-angin yang bertiup di sekitar sini… nuarmusang susah sikit nak jadi embi, dulukan dia ada kes ngan soltan… soltan masih benci ngan dia, macam mana dia nak mengadap untuk angkat sumpah nanti…
u wish…
come may come august or december, vote these faqqers out.
Bro Shieh, “By 6th May ,election commission will announce the …….”
Sorry, if it is my mistake…..could the date be 6th August 2007?
Probably the gomen is taking advantage since most opposition parties especially PKR is not ready for PRU12?
Seems very likely though. Campaign to round up oppositions has started with Nat’s detention.
Dear Sheih, the GE will only be held after Feb 2008.
My Bahagian had confirmed this. We gave the supplier until end of FEB next year to prepare the posters.
Message by Sheih sounds more like a soothsayer prediction….usually unreliable.
The only logical time is when Pak Lah “FEEL GOOD” and only time feeling good is when Jean celebrate Pak Lah’s birthday coming these few days…thus Sheih’s prediction if based on love is very accurate…but based on economy and social happy times…election may not come at all….as people are all suffering from lack of jobs and opportunities to make a decent living.
This is the CHINESE votes….most probably almost all will go to the oppositions and PM is quite worried about that.